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Australia. South Australia. National Premier League
Australia. South Australia. National Premier League
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. South Australia. National Premier League

Adelaide City - Para

Futbol
Adelaide City
Adelaide City
2 : 0
Finished
Para
Para
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Adelaide City — 79%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

Xdraw — odds 19.00 · edge +8.5% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Adelaide City - Para July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Adelaide City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 14.00 / 2 3.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 28.8%
1 74.6%
X 5.5%
2 19.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Adelaide City - Para

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 4.16 market consensus · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.52 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.15 87.0% 1.54 64.9%
yes 4.40 22.7% 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.20 45.5% 1.34 74.6% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.22 82.0%
X 4.13 24.2%
19.90 5.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Over 2 1.87 53.5%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 2 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Adelaide City
D W W
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Adelaide City 0:0 Adelaida Yunayted U23Adelaida Yunayted U23
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Adelaide City 4:1 Styurt LayonsStyurt Layons
31.05 05:15 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Adelaide City 2:1 Vest AdelaidaVest Adelaida
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Para
L L
13.06 03:30 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Para 1:5 FK BeogradFK Beograd
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Para 0:3 Kempbelltaun SitiKempbelltaun Siti
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAdelaide City - Para

Adelaide City
0 matches total
Para
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history