Australia. South Australia. National Premier League
Campbelltown City - Adelaide City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Adelaide City — 51%
Pure model vs market (2 · Adelaide City): model 38% · market 51% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Campbelltown City 24.3%, draw 25.1%, win Adelaide City 50.6%. Model favourite — Adelaide City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kempbelltaun Siti: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Campbelltown City - Adelaide City July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.95 / X 3.69 / 2 1.83
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Campbelltown City - Adelaide City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.87 53.5% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.58 21.8% | |
| X | 2.20 45.5% |
| 2.28 43.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Campbelltown City
Kroydon
Adelaida Komets
Adelaida Yunayted U23
Vest Torrens
Para
Adelaide City
Vest Torrens
Kroydon
Para
Adelaida Yunayted U23
Styurt Layons
Full head-to-head historyCampbelltown City - Adelaide City
Match history
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The Campbelltown City - Adelaide City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form