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Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NPL South Australia Standings

West Adelaide (r) (w) - Modbury Jets (w)

Football
West Adelaide (r) (w)
West Adelaide (r) (w)
- : -
Not started
Modbury Jets (w)
Modbury Jets (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Modbury Jets (w)40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Modbury Jets (w)): model 38% · market 40% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · West Adelaide (r) (w)34.3%
X · draw25.7%
2 · Modbury Jets (w)39.9%

Model estimate: win West Adelaide (r) (w) 34.3%, draw 25.7%, win Modbury Jets (w) 39.9%. Model favourite — Modbury Jets (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1West Adelaide (r) (w) (odds1.99) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Kempbelltaun Siti: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction West Adelaide (r) (w) - Modbury Jets (w) July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Modbury Jets (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / X 3.60 / 2 2.39

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 33.9%
X 26.4%
2 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

West Adelaide (r) (w) - Modbury Jets (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
West Adelaide (r) (w) 34.0% 34.3%
Draw 25.9% 25.7% draw risk
Modbury Jets (w) 40.1% 39.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.3% / 25.7% / 39.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,607 / 1,701 West Adelaide (r) (w) / Modbury Jets (w)
RD 186 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,980 / 1,330-2,072 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.28 market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
X 3.52 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.68 market consensus · no value · model 34.3%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 74.3%
1X 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
X2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 65.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.89 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.62 61.7%
x2 1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.26 30.7%
X 2.12 47.2%
3.01 33.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.74 57.5%
Over 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center
West Adelaide (r) (w)
D W D L W
25.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
West Adelaide (r) (w) 2:2 KroydonKroydon
17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
West Adelaide (r) (w) 1:0 Adelaida KometsAdelaida Komets
04.07 03:30 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
West Adelaide (r) (w) 0:0 Adelaida Yunayted U23Adelaida Yunayted U23
12.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
West Adelaide (r) (w) 1:2 Vest TorrensVest Torrens
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
West Adelaide (r) (w) 3:0 ParaPara
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Modbury Jets (w)
W D W D W
25.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Modbury Jets (w) 1:0 Vest TorrensVest Torrens
18.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Modbury Jets (w) 2:2 KroydonKroydon
04.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Modbury Jets (w) 2:0 ParaPara
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Modbury Jets (w) 0:0 Adelaida Yunayted U23Adelaida Yunayted U23
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL South Australia Standings
Modbury Jets (w) 4:1 Styurt LayonsStyurt Layons
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points