Australia. South Australia. National Premier League
Campbelltown City go head-to-head with FK Beograd on August 7, 2026 in the Australia. South Australia. National Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Campbelltown City 1-3-1, FK Beograd 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 FK Beograd — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · FK Beograd): model 22% · market 39% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Campbelltown City 38.1%, draw 23.7%, win FK Beograd 38.2%. Model favourite — FK Beograd.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.78 36.0% |
| yes | 1.39 71.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.92 34.3% | |
| X | 2.41 41.5% |
| 2.83 35.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Campbelltown City
Adelaida Siti
Kroydon
Adelaida Komets
Adelaida Yunayted U23
Vest Torrens
FK Beograd
Adelaida Komets
Adelaida Yunayted U23
Vest Adelaida
Para
MetroStars
Full head-to-head historyCampbelltown City - FK Beograd
The Campbelltown City - FK Beograd breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
