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Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
02.08.2026 04:30 UTC
Not started

Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings

Clarence Zebras - Ulverstone

Football
Clarence Zebras
Clarence Zebras
- : -
Not started
Ulverstone
Ulverstone

Clarence Zebras go head-to-head with Ulverstone on August 2, 2026 in the Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Clarence Zebras 1-1-2, Ulverstone 1-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Clarence Zebras62%

1 · Clarence Zebras ✓ Pick62.0%
market75%
X · draw17.8%
market15%
2 · Ulverstone20.3%
market10%

Model estimate: win Clarence Zebras 62.0%, draw 17.8%, win Ulverstone 20.3%. Model favourite — Clarence Zebras.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Clarence Zebras (odds1.97) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Klarens Yunayted: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Clarence Zebras - Ulverstone August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Clarence Zebras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 6.10 / 2 8.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 ✓ Pick 74.6%
X 14.9%
2 10.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Tasmania NPL
League table
Clarence Zebras
#524 ptsGP 167-3-628:26
Ulverstone
#104 ptsGP 161-1-1412:55
Best price across 8 books
1 1.33 Dafabet
X 6.25 Unibet
2 9.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Clarence Zebras
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.71 xG 1.90 xGA 2.07
Ulverstone
W-D-L 1-0-9 Scored 0.60 Conceded 2.60 xG 1.01 xGA 3.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Clarence Zebras
Rating 1507 xG 2.62 Win 78%
Ulverstone
Rating 1210 xG 0.71 Win 8%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 04:30 UTC
Market 1 74.6% @ 1.22 / X 14.9% @ 6.10 / 2 10.5% @ 8.70
Match center

Clarence Zebras - Ulverstone

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Clarence Zebras 70.4% 62.0% market and model agree
Draw 16.8% 17.8% draw risk
Ulverstone 12.8% 20.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.0% / 17.8% / 20.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,502 / 1,284 Clarence Zebras 2 / Ulverstone
RD 211 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,080-1,923 / 871-1,697 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.70 market consensus · no value · model 20.3%
X 6.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 62.0%
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.52 65.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.59 62.9%
X 2.93 34.1%
7.10 14.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 1.5 1.93 51.8%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
1.95 51.3%
2.05 48.8%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Clarence Zebras
W L D L
18.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Clarence Zebras 4:2 Riversayd OlimpikRiversayd Olimpik
11.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Clarence Zebras 1:2 LonsestonLonseston
04.07 04:45 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Clarence Zebras 2:2 Glenorki NaytsGlenorki Nayts
13.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Clarence Zebras 1:3 Saut KhobartSaut Khobart
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Ulverstone
L L W L
19.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Ulverstone 0:2 Glenorki NaytsGlenorki Nayts
11.07 02:00 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Ulverstone 0:2 Saut KhobartSaut Khobart
04.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Ulverstone 2:1 Kingboro LayonsKingboro Layons
14.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Ulverstone 1:3 LonsestonLonseston
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points