Australia. Tasmania. National Premier League
Australia. Tasmania. National Premier League
04.07.2026 04:45 UTC
Finished

Australia. Tasmania. National Premier League

Lonseston - Launceston United

Futbol
Lonseston
Lonseston
1 : 2
Finished
Launceston United
Launceston United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lonseston - Launceston United 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Lonseston. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 9.30 / 2 11.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 82.6%
X 9.8%
2 7.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 04:45 UTC
Match center

Lonseston - Launceston United

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.40 71.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 1.34 74.6%
Х 3.97 25.2%
П2 8.80 11.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 2 1.74 57.5%
ТМ 2 1.98 50.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 -2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +2.5 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Lonseston
W
14.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Tasmaniya Standings
Lonseston 3:1 UlverstoneUlverstone
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points