Australia. Women. Victoria. National Premier League
Avondale (w) - Essendon Royals (w)
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Essendon Royals (w) — odds 3.00 · edge +9.3% · 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Avondale (w) - Essendon Royals (w) July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / X 3.65 / 2 9.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Avondale (w) - Essendon Royals (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 4.70 21.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| — | — | 6.00 16.7% | |
| — | — | 3.05 32.8% | |
| — | — | 11.00 9.1% | |
| — | — | 5.40 18.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 5.60 17.9% | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | — | 1.32 75.8% | |
| — | — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 1.77 56.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 5.20 19.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | 2.95 33.9% |
| Over 7.5 | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.56 64.1% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 6.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 7.5 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
Full head-to-head historyAvondale (w) - Essendon Royals (w)