Australia. Women. Victoria. National Premier League
Australia. Women. Victoria. National Premier League
05.07.2026 01:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Women. Victoria. National Premier League

Borundara Iglz (Zh) - South Melbourne (w)

Futbol
B
Borundara Iglz (Zh)
1 : 0
Finished
S
South Melbourne (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2South Melbourne (w)56%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borundara Iglz (Zh) - South Melbourne (w) July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Borundara Iglz (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / X 4.80 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 75.3%
1 48.8%
X 11.9%
2 39.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Borundara Iglz (Zh)
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
South Melbourne (w)
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 01:30 UTC
Match center

Borundara Iglz (Zh) - South Melbourne (w)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 5.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.03 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 2.35 42.6%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7%
1x 2.35 42.6% 2.55 39.2% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 4.20 23.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.30 18.9%
X 2.60 38.5%
1.86 53.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 1.5 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Borundara Iglz (Zh)
L
05.06 06:15 UTC Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings
Borundara Iglz (Zh) 0:1 Bentli Grins (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
South Melbourne (w)
W
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings
South Melbourne (w) 2:1 Geydelberg Yunayted (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points