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Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings
Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings

Melbourne Victory U20 (w) - Melbourne City U20 (w)

Football
M
Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
1 : 0
Finished
M
Melbourne City U20 (w)

Melbourne Victory U20 (w) meet Melbourne City U20 (w) on August 2, 2026 in the Australia: NPL Victoria Women Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 3-1-1, Melbourne City U20 (w) 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Melbourne Victory U20 (w) — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Melbourne Victory U20 (w)): model 44% · market 6% Δ +38 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Melbourne Victory U20 (w)52.4%
X · draw20.5%
2 · Melbourne City U20 (w)27.1%

Model estimate: win Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 52.4%, draw 20.5%, win Melbourne City U20 (w) 27.1%. Model favourite — Melbourne Victory U20 (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Melbourne Victory U20 (w) (odds2.35) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs Melburn Viktori U20 (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne Victory U20 (w) - Melbourne City U20 (w) August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 1.23 / 2 4.30
  • Glicko: Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 52.4% / X 20.5% / Melbourne City U20 (w) 27.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 6.0%
X 73.1%
2 20.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.63 ↑ 15.00
1X2 X 3.40 ↓ 1.23
1X2 2 4.90 ↓ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 4 : 1 Melbourne City U20 (w)
11.09
X8.30
213.20

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 6.0% @ 15.00 / X 73.1% @ 1.23 / 2 20.9% @ 4.30
Match center

Melbourne Victory U20 (w) - Melbourne City U20 (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.4% fact: home hit / ROI 1,400.0% / Brier 0.342 / LogLoss 0.646
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.4% fact: home hit / ROI 1,400.0% / Brier 0.342 / LogLoss 0.646
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 6.0% 52.4% Glicko contrarian
Draw 73.1% 20.5% draw risk
Melbourne City U20 (w) 20.9% 27.1% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.4% / 20.5% / 27.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,197 / 1,215 Melbourne Victory 2 (w) / Melbourne City 2 (w)
RD 218 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 762-1,632 / 800-1,630 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 27.1%
X 1.23 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 3.35 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.5%
1X 1.15 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 72.9%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 47.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.35 29.9%
1x 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
1.88 53.2%
2.75 36.4%
3.50 28.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 3.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 4.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
15.00 6.7%
X 1.23 81.3%
4.30 23.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0, avg 1.0 gls
2026-08-01 · Khyum Siti 1:0 Melburn Siti 2
2026-04-26 · Khyum Siti 1:0 Melburn Siti 2
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.68 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.2 (Pari) · 2 4.4 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.63 4.2 4.4
Winline 1.63 4 4.2
Fonbet 1.63 4.2 4.4
Betcity 1.65 4.2 4.2
Liga Stavok 1.68 3.85 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
L W W D W
2026-07-25 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) Essendon Royals SC U20 2:0 Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
2026-07-19 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) Boroondara-Carey Eagles U20 0:5 Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
2026-07-04 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) Melbourne Victory U20 (w) 6:0 Box Hill United FC U20
2026-06-27 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) Keilor Park U20 (w) 1:1 Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
2026-06-20 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne Victory U20 (w) South Melbourne FC U20 0:2 Melbourne Victory U20 (w)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Melbourne City U20 (w)
W W W D L
2026-07-28 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Boroondara-Carey Eagles U20 1:2 Melbourne City U20 (w) Melbourne City U20 (w)
2026-07-25 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Bentleigh Greens SC U20 0:4 Melbourne City U20 (w) Melbourne City U20 (w)
2026-07-18 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne City U20 (w) 6:0 Essendon Royals SC U20 Melbourne City U20 (w)
2026-07-04 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Keilor Park U20 (w) 1:1 Melbourne City U20 (w) Melbourne City U20 (w)
2026-06-27 U20 Victoria NPL, Women 2026
Melbourne City U20 (w) 0:4 Avondale U20 (w) Melbourne City U20 (w)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points