Match center
Start
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. U23. Victoria. National Premier League
Avondale - Preston Lions
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Avondale - Preston Lions July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Avondale.
Line favourite market consensus: Avondale. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.55 / 2 2.89
- 1X2 market: Avondale 43.3% / X 25.5% / Preston Lions 31.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.6%
1
43.3%
X
25.5%
2
31.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPLLeague table
Avondale
LLWWW
Preston Lions
WWWWL
Best price
across 13 books
1
2.16
Pinnacle
X
3.70
10Bet
2
3.00
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Avondale
W-D-L 7-0-3
Scored 3.61
Conceded 1.20
xG 2.21
xGA 1.06
Preston Lions
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 1.10
Conceded 0.60
xG 1.62
xGA 1.22
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Avondale
Rating 1686
Preston Lions
Rating 1686
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Avondale | Preston Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | — |
| Average total | 3 | — |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 20% | — |
| Matches counted | 5 | — |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Avondale - Preston Lions
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · line only
X
6.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.22
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.10
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
X2
3.65
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
2 0
7.10
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.42
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.85 35.1% | 2.93 34.1% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.90 34.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.11 90.1% |
| yes | 5.10 19.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% | 3.65 27.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.70 58.8% | |
| — | — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.57 63.7% | — | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | — | 9.50 10.5% | |
| — | — | 12.00 8.3% | |
| — | — | 8.00 12.5% | |
| — | — | 1.05 95.2% | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.27 44.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 7.10 14.1% |
Match center
Avondale
W
Avondale
2:0
Grin Gulli
Grin Gulli
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Preston Lions
W
Preston Lions
1:0
Sent Olbans
Sent Olbans
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAvondale - Preston Lions
Avondale
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals