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30.07.2026 07:30 UTC
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30.07.2026 07:30 UTC
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Australia. Victoria.National Premier League
Bentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Oakleigh Cannons — 68%
Pure model vs market (2 · Oakleigh Cannons): model 50% · market 69% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Bentleigh Greens 12.9%, draw 18.7%, win Oakleigh Cannons 68.3%. Model favourite — Oakleigh Cannons.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Oakleigh Cannons (odds1.59)
Score 0:2
confidence 63%
- • Model backs Okli Kennons: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oakleigh Cannons.
Line favourite market consensus: Oakleigh Cannons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.51 / X 4.80 / 2 1.32
- 1X2 market: Bentleigh Greens 12.2% / X 19.0% / Oakleigh Cannons 68.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.9%
1
12.1%
X
19.0%
2 ✓ Pick
68.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Oakleigh Cannons 68%
💹 Market
Oakleigh Cannons 6882%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Bentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bentleigh Greens
11.9%
12.9%
Draw
18.6%
18.7%
draw risk
Oakleigh Cannons
69.5%
68.3%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
12.9% / 18.7% / 68.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,271 / 1,599
Bentleigh Greens / Oakleigh Cannons
RD
212 / 181
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
847-1,694 / 1,237-1,961
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.32
market consensus · no value · model 68.3%
X
4.83
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.55
market consensus · no value · model 12.9%
Double chance
12
1.11
market consensus · no value · model 81.3%
1X
3.20
market consensus · no value · model 31.7%
X2
1.05
market consensus · no value · model 87.1%
Total
Over 2.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.25
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.93
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.60 13.2% | 8.20 12.2% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.40 13.5% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.50 11.8% | |
| X | 4.60 21.7% | 5.05 19.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 3.20 31.3% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_3 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_4 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_5 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_6 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_7 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_4 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_5 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_6 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_7 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
Match center
Bentleigh Greens
L
W
L
L
L
Bentleigh Greens
0:1
Preston Layons
Preston Layons
Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Dandenong Siti
Dandenong Siti
Bentleigh Greens
1:2
Dandenong
Dandenong
Bentleigh Greens
0:3
Grin Gulli
Grin Gulli
Bentleigh Greens
1:5
Khyum Siti
Khyum Siti
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.4
Conceded
3
Points
Oakleigh Cannons
L
W
W
D
D
Oakleigh Cannons
0:5
Saut Melburn
Saut Melburn
Oakleigh Cannons
1:0
Khyum Siti
Khyum Siti
Oakleigh Cannons
4:2
Eyvondeyl
Eyvondeyl
Oakleigh Cannons
1:1
George Cross
George Cross
Oakleigh Cannons
2:2
Sent Olbans
Sent Olbans
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.0
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons
Bentleigh Greens
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form