Match center
Start
11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. U23. Victoria. National Premier League
Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens July 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bentleigh Greens.
Line favourite market consensus: Bentleigh Greens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.59 / X 3.73 / 2 1.79
- 1X2 market: Dandenong Thunder 25.2% / X 24.3% / Bentleigh Greens 50.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1
25.2%
X
24.3%
2
50.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPLLeague table
Dandenong Thunder
WLLLL
Bentleigh Greens
LLLLL
Best price
across 13 books
1
4.20
BetVictor
X
4.54
Pinnacle
2
1.85
Superbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dandenong Thunder
W-D-L 1-1-8
Scored 0.80
Conceded 2.91
xG 1.08
xGA 2.01
Bentleigh Greens
W-D-L 0-2-8
Scored 0.60
Conceded 3.50
xG 1.18
xGA 1.67
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Dandenong Thunder
Rating 1470
Bentleigh Greens
Rating 1404
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dandenong Thunder
2
:
2
Bentleigh Greens
13.48
X3.82
21.81
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.79
market consensus · line only
X
9.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.35
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.45
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.82 26.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.16 86.2% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 4.40 22.7% | 1.56 64.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 6.00 16.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_4 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_5 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 1_6 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
Match center
Dandenong Thunder
L
L
Dandenong Thunder
0:1
Saut Melburn
Saut Melburn
Dandenong Thunder
2:3
George Cross
George Cross
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Bentleigh Greens
L
L
Bentleigh Greens
0:3
Grin Gulli
Grin Gulli
Bentleigh Greens
1:5
Khyum Siti
Khyum Siti
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.5
Scored
4.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong Thunder
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals