football.main.1x2: p1
Value Superbet HOME @ 2.40 (EV +8%, Pinnacle fair 45%)
Australia. Victoria.National Premier League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dandenong Thunder.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Superbet HOME @ 2.40 (EV +8%, Pinnacle fair 45%)
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 3.70 27.0% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 3.15 31.8% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Full head-to-head historyDandenong Thunder - George Cross
The Dandenong Thunder - George Cross breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.