Match center
Start
04.07.2026 02:00 UTC
04.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. Victoria.National Premier League
Hume City - Dandenong City
0
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
1Hume City — odds 2.90 · edge +6.9% · 15 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hume City - Dandenong City July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hume City.
Line favourite market consensus: Hume City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 3.79 / 2 3.89
- 1X2 market: Hume City 52.9% / X 23.8% / Dandenong City 23.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.6%
1
52.9%
X
23.9%
2
23.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPLLeague table
Hume City
DWWWD
Dandenong City
DWLWW
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.91
William Hill
X
3.90
Betfair
2
4.33
Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hume City
W-D-L 8-1-1
Scored 2.51
Conceded 1.00
xG 1.82
xGA 1.21
Dandenong City
W-D-L 5-1-4
Scored 1.51
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.31
xGA 1.69
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Hume City
Rating 1696
Dandenong City
Rating 1611
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Hume City - Dandenong City
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.84
market consensus · line only
X
3.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 0
5.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.40
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 3.65 27.4% | 4.12 24.3% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 2.43 41.2% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.63 61.4% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% | 2.03 49.3% | 5.50 18.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 2.37 42.2% |
| 4.30 23.3% |
Match center
Hume City
W
Hume City
5:1
Bentli Grins
Bentli Grins
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Dandenong City
W
Dandenong City
4:1
Geydelberg Yunayted
Geydelberg Yunayted
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHume City - Dandenong City
Hume City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals