Preston Lions vs Green Gully prediction — July 30, 2026

Match center

Preston Lions - Green Gully

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Preston Lions 69.9% 69.4% market and model agree

Draw 18.5% 18.5% draw risk

Green Gully 11.6% 12.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 69.4% / 18.5% / 12.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,822 / 1,378 Preston Lions / Green Gully

RD 194 / 187 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,435-2,209 / 1,005-1,751 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.78 market consensus · no value · model 12.0%

X 4.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 69.4%

Double chance

12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 81.5%

1X 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 88.0%

X2 3.10 market consensus · no value · model 30.6%

Total

Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Dafabet
	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%	1.32 75.8%
X	4.60 21.7%	4.90 20.4%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%
	8.60 11.6%	8.00 12.5%	8.00 12.5%	7.80 12.8%	8.50 11.8%	7.80 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.79 55.9%
yes	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.12 89.3%
1x	1.05 95.2%
x2	3.10 32.3%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	11.00 9.1%
0_1	19.00 5.3%
0_2	46.00 2.2%
0_3	101.00 1.0%
1_0	6.25 16.0%
1_1	8.50 11.8%
1_2	19.00 5.3%
1_3	61.00 1.6%
2_0	5.75 17.4%
2_1	7.00 14.3%
2_2	15.00 6.7%
2_3	51.00 2.0%
3_0	7.50 13.3%
3_1	8.50 11.8%
3_2	19.00 5.3%
3_3	61.00 1.6%
4_0	12.00 8.3%
4_1	13.00 7.7%