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Australia. Victoria.National Premier League

30.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Not started

Australia. Victoria.National Premier League

Preston Lions - Green Gully

Football

Preston Lions

- : -

Not started

Green Gully

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Preston Lions — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Preston Lions): model 63% · market 71% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Preston Lions ✓ Pick70.1%

market71%

X · draw18.0%

market18%

2 · Green Gully11.9%

market11%

Model estimate: win Preston Lions 70.1%, draw 18.0%, win Green Gully 11.9%. Model favourite — Preston Lions.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Preston Lions (odds1.41) Score 2:0 confidence 71%

• Model backs Preston Layons: probability 71% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Preston Lions - Green Gully July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Preston Lions. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.30 / 2 8.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%

1 ✓ Pick 71.1%

X 17.6%

2 11.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Match center

Preston Lions - Green Gully

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Preston Lions 70.6% 70.1% market and model agree

Draw 17.9% 18.0% draw risk

Green Gully 11.5% 11.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 70.1% / 18.0% / 11.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,822 / 1,378 Preston Lions / Green Gully

RD 194 / 187 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,435-2,209 / 1,005-1,751 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 market consensus · no value · model 11.9%

X 5.12 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 70.1%

Double chance

12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.0%

1X 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 88.1%

X2 3.10 market consensus · no value · model 29.9%

Total

Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.79 55.9%
yes	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.12 89.3%
1x	1.05 95.2%
x2	3.10 32.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.74 57.5%
X	2.52 39.7%
	7.20 13.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.57 63.7%
Under 1	2.26 44.3%

Match center

Preston Lions

W D W W W

24.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Preston Lions 1:0 Bentli Grins

18.07 03:15 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Preston Lions 0:0 Saut Melburn

10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Preston Lions 2:1 Khyum Siti

04.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Preston Lions 3:2 Eyvondeyl

31.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Preston Lions 1:0 Sent Olbans

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Green Gully

D W L W L

24.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Green Gully 0:0 Dandenong Siti

17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Green Gully 3:1 Dandenong

10.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Green Gully 1:3 Altona Medzhik

03.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Green Gully 3:0 Bentli Grins

05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Viktoriya Standings

Green Gully 0:2 Eyvondeyl

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPreston Lions - Green Gully

Preston Lions

0 matches total

Green Gully

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Preston Lions - Green Gully

AI match prediction Preston Lions - Green Gully July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Preston Lions - Green Gully

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history