Match center
Start
04.07.2026 03:30 UTC
04.07.2026 03:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2
Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets 2
7
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets 2 4 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blacktown Spartans.
Line favourite market consensus: Blacktown Spartans. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.24 / 2 4.29
- 1X2 market: Blacktown Spartans 57.6% / X 21.3% / Newcastle Jets 2 21.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.6%
1
57.6%
X
21.3%
2
21.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
New South Wales NPL 2League table
Blacktown Spartans
WWDWL
Newcastle Jets 2
LLLLD
Best price
across 9 books
1
1.71
Unibet
X
5.00
Bet365
2
5.11
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Blacktown Spartans
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 2.10
Conceded 1.30
xG 1.99
xGA 1.25
Newcastle Jets 2
W-D-L 2-2-6
Scored 1.80
Conceded 2.20
xG 1.81
xGA 1.58
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Blacktown Spartans
Rating 1587
Newcastle Jets 2
Rating 1443
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets 2
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.32
market consensus · line only
X
6.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.12
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
2.05
market consensus · line only
2 0
5.60
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.69
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.90
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.48 67.6% |
| Х | 4.45 22.5% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.45 22.5% |
| П2 | 4.86 20.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.70 21.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 5.00 20.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +1.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| П1 -1 | 1.69 59.2% | — |
| П1 -1.5 | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| П1 -2.5 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П1 -3.5 | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | 4.80 20.8% |
| П1 0 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.09 91.7% |
| П2 +1 | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | — | 11.50 8.7% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| П2 0 | 3.60 27.8% | 5.60 17.9% |
Match center
Blacktown Spartans
W
L
Blacktown Spartans
4:1
Benk Staun Layons
Benk Staun Layons
Blacktown Spartans
1:2
Khakoa Sidney
Khakoa Sidney
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Newcastle Jets 2
L
D
Newcastle Jets 2
5:6
Canterbury Bankstown
Canterbury Bankstown
Newcastle Jets 2
2:2
Prospect United
Prospect United
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.5
Scored
4.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBlacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets 2
Blacktown Spartans
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals