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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2

Hills United - Northern Tigers

Futbol
Hills United
Hills United
1 : 2
Finished
Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hills United - Northern Tigers July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Northern Tigers.

Line favourite market consensus: Northern Tigers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.44 / 2 2.11
  • 1X2 market: Hills United 31.8% / X 26.0% / Northern Tigers 42.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.1%
1 31.8%
X 25.9%
2 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL 2
League table
Hills United
#632 ptsGP 229-5-838:36
LLDWD
Northern Tigers
#242 ptsGP 2212-6-439:19
WWLWD
Best price across 9 books
1 3.00 William Hill
X 3.60 Bet365
2 2.23 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hills United
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.60 xGA 1.55
Northern Tigers
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.94 xGA 1.23

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Hills United
Rating 1497
Northern Tigers
Rating 1561

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Hills United
No data
Northern Tigers
  • Founded in 2002

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Hills United - Northern Tigers

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 2.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.91 34.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.90 34.5%
X 3.48 28.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.13 32.0% 3.50 28.6%
2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.13 47.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.40 71.4% 2.30 43.5%
yes 2.75 36.4% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6% 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.51 28.5%
X 2.22 45.1%
2.67 37.5%
Match center
Hills United
D D
13.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Hills United 0:0 Makartur RamsMakartur Rams
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Hills United 2:2 Bulls AkademiBulls Akademi
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Northern Tigers
W D W
13.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Northern Tigers 1:0 Inter LayonsInter Layons
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Northern Tigers 1:1 Benk Staun LayonsBenk Staun Layons
31.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Northern Tigers 3:0 Prospect UnitedProspect United
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points