Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2
04.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League-2

Macarthur Rams - Inter Lions

Futbol
Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams
3 : 2
Finished
Inter Lions
Inter Lions
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Macarthur Rams — odds 2.24 · edge +6.1% · 10 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macarthur Rams - Inter Lions July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Macarthur Rams.

Line favourite market consensus: Macarthur Rams. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.36 / 2 2.81
  • 1X2 market: Macarthur Rams 41.8% / X 26.5% / Inter Lions 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.3%
1 41.8%
X 26.5%
2 31.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL 2
League table
Macarthur Rams
#538 ptsGP 2211-5-629:23
WDWLW
Inter Lions
#1224 ptsGP 227-3-1227:40
LWWLW
Best price across 9 books
1 2.30 Betano
X 3.78 1xBet
2 3.82 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Macarthur Rams
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.43 xGA 1.60
Inter Lions
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.38 xGA 1.80

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Macarthur Rams
Rating 1514
Inter Lions
Rating 1460

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Macarthur Rams - Inter Lions

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.15 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.30 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.44 29.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.45 29.0%
2.81 35.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.47 68.0% 2.18 45.9%
yes 2.50 40.0% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.66 37.6%
X 2.20 45.5%
3.59 27.9%
Match center
Macarthur Rams
D W
13.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Macarthur Rams 0:0 Hills UnitedHills United
06.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Macarthur Rams 1:0 Rydalmere LionsRydalmere Lions
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Inter Lions
L W
13.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Inter Lions 0:1 Northern TigersNorthern Tigers
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NSW League One Standings
Inter Lions 2:1 Hurstville ZagrebHurstville Zagreb
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points