Australia: NSW League One Standings
Prospect United - Blacktown Spartans
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Blacktown Spartans — 62%
Pure model vs market (2 · Blacktown Spartans): model 60% · market 62% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Prospect United 18.4%, draw 19.8%, win Blacktown Spartans 61.8%. Model favourite — Blacktown Spartans.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Blektaun Spartans: probability 51% vs 11% on the line (odds 9.50)
- • edge over the line +40 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Prospect United - Blacktown Spartans July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blacktown Spartans.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.99 / X 4.51 / 2 1.46
- 1X2 market: Prospect United 18.1% / X 20.1% / Blacktown Spartans 61.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Prospect United - Blacktown Spartans
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.33 18.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.15 19.4% | 4.90 20.4% | |
| X | 4.55 22.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.45 22.5% |
| 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.46 68.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 2.30 43.5% | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.93 51.8% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 18.00 5.6% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_4 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_5 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_6 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_7 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_4 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_5 | 29.00 3.5% |
Prospect United
Inter Layons
Makartur Rams
Canterbury Bankstown
Khakoa Sidney
Dalvich Khill
Blacktown Spartans
Northern Tigers
Canterbury Bankstown
Nyukasl Dzhets U23
Benk Staun Layons
Khakoa Sidney
Full head-to-head historyProspect United - Blacktown Spartans
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form