Australia: NSW League One Standings
Prospect United - Blektaun Spartans
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Blektaun Spartans — 51%
Pure model vs market (2 · Blektaun Spartans): model 60% · market 10% Δ +50 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Prospect United 29.8%, draw 19.3%, win Blektaun Spartans 50.8%. Model favourite — Blektaun Spartans.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Blektaun Spartans: probability 51% vs 11% on the line (odds 9.50)
- • edge over the line +40 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Prospect United - Blektaun Spartans July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 4.76 / 2 9.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Prospect United - Blektaun Spartans
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 8.30 12.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.82 55.0% |
Prospect United
Inter Layons
Makartur Rams
Canterbury Bankstown
Khakoa Sidney
Dalvich Khill
Blektaun Spartans
Northern Tigers
Canterbury Bankstown
Nyukasl Dzhets U23
Benk Staun Layons
Khakoa Sidney
Full head-to-head historyProspect United - Blektaun Spartans
Match history
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The Prospect United - Blektaun Spartans breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form