Match center
Start
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. Queensland. Premier League
Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brisbane Strikers.
Line favourite market consensus: Brisbane Strikers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.55 / 2 4.75
- 1X2 market: Brisbane Strikers 61.0% / X 19.9% / Logan Lightning 19.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
60.9%
X
20.0%
2
19.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Queensland Premier LeagueLeague table
Brisbane Strikers
WWWWW
Logan Lightning
LWLLL
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.53
Unibet
X
4.94
Pinnacle
2
5.11
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Brisbane Strikers
W-D-L 8-1-1
Scored 2.70
Conceded 0.70
xG 2.17
xGA 1.34
Logan Lightning
W-D-L 4-0-6
Scored 1.61
Conceded 1.99
xG 1.90
xGA 1.69
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Brisbane Strikers
Rating 1733
xG 2.14
Win 61%
Logan Lightning
Rating 1490
xG 1.10
Win 19%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.77
market consensus · line only
X
5.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.11
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.19
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.98
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.73
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.73
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.37
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.85
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 4.80 20.8% | 5.11 19.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.65 21.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.63 38.0% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% | 1.43 69.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 4.70 21.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| X | 2.67 37.5% |
| 4.77 21.0% |
Match center
Brisbane Strikers
W
W
Brisbane Strikers
3:0
Robina City
Robina City
Brisbane Strikers
3:1
Nort Star
Nort Star
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Logan Lightning
W
W
Logan Lightning
5:1
Redlends
Redlends
Logan Lightning
1:0
Capalaba
Capalaba
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBrisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning
Brisbane Strikers
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals