Australia. Queensland. Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Broadbeach Utd. — 63%
Pure model vs market (1 · Broadbeach Utd.): model 35% · market 64% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Broadbeach Utd. 62.7%, draw 19.3%, win Logan Lightning 18.0%. Model favourite — Broadbeach Utd..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Broadbeach Utd
- • — Logan Laytning (football)
- • Model backs Broadbeach Utd.: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.01)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Broadbeach Utd..
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.70 / 2 5.52
- 1X2 market: Broadbeach Utd. 64.2% / X 19.3% / Logan Lightning 16.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.65 21.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.70 21.3% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 5.64 17.7% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.40 18.5% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.60 17.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
Broadbeach Utd.
Brisben Straykers
Robina City
Sent-Dzhordzh Uillavong
Kholland Park Khoks
Logan Lightning
Sanshayn-Kost Uondererz
Ipswich
Brisben Straykers
Redlends
Capalaba
Full head-to-head historyBroadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form