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Australia. Queensland. Premier League
Australia. Queensland. Premier League
30.07.2026 08:30 UTC
30.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Queensland. Premier League

Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning

Football
Broadbeach Utd.
Broadbeach Utd.
- : -
Not started
Logan Lightning
Logan Lightning
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Broadbeach Utd. — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Broadbeach Utd.): model 35% · market 64% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Broadbeach Utd.49.8%
X · draw20.6%
2 · Logan Lightning29.7%

Model estimate: win Broadbeach Utd. 49.8%, draw 20.6%, win Logan Lightning 29.7%. Model favourite — Broadbeach Utd..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Broadbeach Utd. (odds2.01) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Broadbeach Utd
  • • — Logan Laytning (football)
  • • Model backs Broadbeach Utd.: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.01)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Broadbeach Utd.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.76 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 64.4%
X 19.1%
2 16.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Broadbeach Utd. - Logan Lightning

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Broadbeach Utd. 64.4% 49.8% market and model agree
Draw 19.1% 20.6% draw risk
Logan Lightning 16.5% 29.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 20.6% / 29.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,550 / 1,724 Broadbeach Utd. / Logan Lightning
RD 216 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,118-1,982 / 1,346-2,103 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · no value · model 29.7%
X 4.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
Handicap
2 +1 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.57 63.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
X 2.66 37.6%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6%
Match center
Broadbeach Utd.
L D D W W
18.07 06:00 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Broadbeach Utd. 1:2 Brisben StraykersBrisben Straykers
11.07 06:00 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Broadbeach Utd. 1:1 Kabulcher
04.07 02:30 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Broadbeach Utd. 0:0 Robina CityRobina City
13.06 07:15 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Broadbeach Utd. 4:1 Sent-Dzhordzh UillavongSent-Dzhordzh Uillavong
06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Broadbeach Utd. 1:0 Kholland Park KhoksKholland Park Khoks
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Logan Lightning
D W L W W
18.07 06:15 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Logan Lightning 2:2 Sanshayn-Kost UondererzSanshayn-Kost Uondererz
11.07 05:00 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Logan Lightning 3:2 IpswichIpswich
04.07 05:00 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Logan Lightning 2:3 Brisben StraykersBrisben Straykers
30.06 08:30 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Logan Lightning 5:1 RedlendsRedlends
05.06 08:30 UTC Australia: Premier League Kvinslend Standings
Logan Lightning 1:0 CapalabaCapalaba
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points