Australia. Queensland. Premier League
Ipswich - Holland Park Hawks
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ipswich - Holland Park Hawks July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.40 / X 1.25 / 2 8.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Queensland Premier LeagueAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Ipswich | Holland Park Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 70% | — |
| Average total | 2.9 | — |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 50% | — |
| Matches counted | 10 | — |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Ipswich - Holland Park Hawks
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 3.35 29.9% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% |
| 4.80 20.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.04 49.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Ipswich
Robina City
Holland Park Hawks
Robina City
Broadbeach Utd.
Full head-to-head historyIpswich - Holland Park Hawks