Australia. Queensland. Premier League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Brisbane Strikers — 74%
Pure model vs market (2 · Brisbane Strikers): model 53% · market 68% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win St George Willawong 11.7%, draw 14.1%, win Brisbane Strikers 74.2%. Model favourite — Brisbane Strikers.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.61 62.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 2.60 38.5% | 5.30 18.9% |
| x2 | 1.10 90.9% | — |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| X | 2.58 38.8% |
| 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.16 46.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
St George Willawong
Robina City
Capalaba
Broadbeach Utd.
Redlends
Brisbane Strikers
Broadbeach Utd.
Logan Laytning
Robina City
Nort Star
Full head-to-head historySt George Willawong - Brisbane Strikers
The St George Willawong - Brisbane Strikers breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
