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Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
11.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Moreton City Excelsior - Magic United

Futbol
Moreton City Excelsior
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Finished
Magic United
Magic United
AI agent prediction web analysis

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H) and web search

1Moreton City Excelsior (odds1.30) Score 3:1 Over 3.5 ✗ confidence 78% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Moreton City: 3-е место, стабильны
  • • Magic United: 10-е, пропустили 50 голов
  • • H2H: 5:0 в первом круге
  • • Главная: П1 + ТБ 3.5.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moreton City Excelsior - Magic United 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Moreton City Excelsior.

Line favourite market consensus: Moreton City Excelsior. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 7.41 / 2 10.55
  • 1X2 market: Moreton City Excelsior 78.9% / X 12.4% / Magic United 8.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 79.2%
X 12.2%
2 8.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Queensland NPL
League table
Moreton City Excelsior
#335 ptsGP 1811-2-547:28
WLWDW
Magic United
#1113 ptsGP 184-1-1324:54
LWLLW
Best price across 13 books
1 1.21 Betano
X 8.23 Pinnacle
2 11.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Moreton City Excelsior
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.49 Conceded 1.70 xG 2.14 xGA 1.52
Magic United
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 1.51 Conceded 2.80 xG 1.31 xGA 2.62

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Moreton City Excelsior
Rating 1699
Magic United
Rating 1415

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Moreton City Excelsior 5 : 1 Magic United
11.01
X12.00
225.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated12.07.2026 14:28 UTC
1 82% ✓ favourite
X 11%
2 7%
Score3:1 Total goals: ТБ 3.5 Bet:1
Claude updated12.07.2026 14:29 UTC
1 82% ✓ favourite
X 11%
2 7%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 82% 11% 7% 3:1 ТБ 3.5 — 1
Claude 82% 11% 7% — — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 06:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Moreton City Excelsior 82%
💹 Market Moreton City Excelsior 7889%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Moreton City Excelsior - Magic United

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.44 market consensus · line only
X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1%
Х 7.20 13.9% 8.10 12.4% 7.00 14.3% 6.90 14.5% 8.50 11.8% 5.50 18.2%
П2 14.00 7.1% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 9.50 10.5% 14.00 7.1% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.20 45.5% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.11 90.1%
x2 6.40 15.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 31.00 3.2%
0_1 46.00 2.2%
0_2 76.00 1.3%
0_3 126.00 0.8%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 15.00 6.7%
1_2 34.00 2.9%
1_3 76.00 1.3%
1_4 126.00 0.8%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 19.00 5.3%
2_3 56.00 1.8%
2_4 101.00 1.0%
3_0 7.50 13.3%
3_1 8.00 12.5%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
3_3 46.00 2.2%
Match center
Moreton City Excelsior
L
04.07 04:15 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Moreton City Excelsior 1:2 Gold-Kost NaytsGold-Kost Nayts
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Magic United
W W L
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 3:1 Gold Koast YunaytedGold Koast Yunayted
06.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 2:1 Brisben Roar U23Brisben Roar U23
03.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 0:4 Rochdeyl RoversRochdeyl Rovers
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points