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Australia: SA State League Standings
Australia: SA State League Standings
07.08.2026 10:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 10:00 UTC
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Australia: SA State League Standings

Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cove FC

Football
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
- : -
Not started
Cove FC
Cove FC

Adelaide Croatia Raiders go head-to-head with Cove FC on August 7, 2026 in the Australia: SA State League Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3-0-2, Cove FC 1-2-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders): model 51% · market 60% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders54.7%
X · draw20.3%
2 · Cove FC25.1%

Model estimate: win Adelaide Croatia Raiders 54.7%, draw 20.3%, win Cove FC 25.1%. Model favourite — Adelaide Croatia Raiders.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cove FC August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Adelaide Croatia Raiders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.40 / 2 4.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 59.5%
X 20.7%
2 19.8%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 59.5% @ 1.53 / X 20.7% @ 4.40 / 2 19.8% @ 4.60
Match center

Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cove FC

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 59.5% 54.7% market and model agree
Draw 20.7% 20.3% draw risk
Cove FC 19.8% 25.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.7% / 20.3% / 25.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,495 / 1,373 Adelaide Croatia Raiders / Cove FC
RD 189 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,118-1,873 / 936-1,810 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 market consensus · no value · model 25.1%
X 4.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 54.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.03 49.3%
X 2.41 41.5%
4.94 20.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
Match center
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
W L W W L
25.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1:0 Fulham Utd.Fulham Utd.
18.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1:9 Istern YunaytedIstern Yunayted
04.07 07:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 2:1 Kamberland YunaytedKamberland Yunayted
13.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3:2 Saut AdelaidaSaut Adelaida
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3:4 Salisbury Utd.Salisbury Utd.
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.2 Conceded
9 Points
Cove FC
W D D L
25.07 05:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Cove FC 6:0 Adelaida KobrasAdelaida Kobras
18.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Cove FC 2:2 Saut AdelaidaSaut Adelaida
04.07 05:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Cove FC 0:0 Adelaide AtleticoAdelaide Atletico
05.06 08:15 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Cove FC 0:1 Istern YunaytedIstern Yunayted
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points