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Australia. South Australia. State League. Division 1
Australia. South Australia. State League. Division 1
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. South Australia. State League. Division 1

Salisbury Utd. - Dunbar Rovers

Football
Salisbury Utd.
Salisbury Utd.
- : -
Not started
Dunbar Rovers
Dunbar Rovers

Salisbury Utd. go head-to-head with Dunbar Rovers on August 6, 2026 in the Australia. South Australia. State League. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Salisbury Utd. 1-0-4, Dunbar Rovers 0-1-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Salisbury Utd. — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Salisbury Utd.): model 47% · market 55% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Salisbury Utd. ✓ Pick65.5%
market55%
X · draw17.8%
market22%
2 · Dunbar Rovers16.7%
market23%

Model estimate: win Salisbury Utd. 65.5%, draw 17.8%, win Dunbar Rovers 16.7%. Model favourite — Salisbury Utd..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Salisbury Utd. (odds1.65) Score 2:0 confidence 66%
  • • Salisbury Utd
  • • — Saut Adelaida (football)
  • • Model backs Salisbury Utd.: probability 66% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Salisbury Utd. - Dunbar Rovers August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Salisbury Utd.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.18 / 2 3.93

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 ✓ Pick 55.1%
X 21.8%
2 23.1%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 55.1% @ 1.65 / X 21.8% @ 4.18 / 2 23.1% @ 3.93
Match center

Salisbury Utd. - Dunbar Rovers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Salisbury Utd. 55.1% 65.5% market and model agree
Draw 21.8% 17.8% draw risk
Dunbar Rovers 23.1% 16.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.5% / 17.8% / 16.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,240 / 1,191 Salisbury Utd. / Dunbar Rovers
RD 198 / 190 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 843-1,637 / 810-1,571 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.93 market consensus · no value · model 16.7%
X 4.18 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.65 market consensus · value +8.1% · model 65.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.70 37.0%
yes 1.41 70.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.09 47.9%
X 2.54 39.4%
4.20 23.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 1.5 1.74 57.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.05 48.8%
1.70 58.8%
Match center
Salisbury Utd.
L L L L W
24.07 08:15 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Salisbury Utd. 0:1 Istern YunaytedIstern Yunayted
18.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Salisbury Utd. 2:3 Modberi DzhetsModberi Dzhets
03.07 08:00 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Salisbury Utd. 0:1 Adelaida OlimpiksAdelaida Olimpiks
13.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Salisbury Utd. 0:3 Blyu IglzBlyu Iglz
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Salisbury Utd. 4:3 Adelaide Croatia RaidersAdelaide Croatia Raiders
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Dunbar Rovers
L D L L L
24.07 08:00 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Dunbar Rovers 1:5 Adelaida OlimpiksAdelaida Olimpiks
18.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Dunbar Rovers 2:2 Cove FCCove FC
04.07 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Dunbar Rovers 1:4 Blyu IglzBlyu Iglz
13.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Dunbar Rovers 2:3 Adelaide Croatia RaidersAdelaide Croatia Raiders
06.06 03:30 UTC Australia: SA State League Standings
Dunbar Rovers 0:2 Adelaida KobrasAdelaida Kobras
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
3.2 Conceded
1 Points