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Australia. Tasmania. Premier League. South
Australia. Tasmania. Premier League. South
13.06.2026 02:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Tasmania. Premier League. South

New Town - Taroona

Football
New Town
New Town
0 : 1
Finished
Taroona
Taroona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New Town - Taroona June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.20 / X 1.48 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 17.3%
X 60.8%
2 21.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Tasmania Southern Championship
League table
New Town
#118 ptsGP 85-3-031:8
DWWDW
Taroona
#616 ptsGP 95-1-337:14
DWLLW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
New Town
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 3.59 Conceded 1.37 xG 2.00 xGA 2.10
1 +1.06 X +0.10 2 -1.81 1 (DNB) +1.20
Taroona
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 3.94 Conceded 1.44 xG 3.09 xGA 1.53
1 -1.78 X -4.00 2 +2.43 1 (DNB) -0.97

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
New Town
Rating 1744
Taroona
Rating 1637

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 02:30 UTC
Match center

New Town - Taroona

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.10 Fonbet · line only
X 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.19 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.30 43.5%
1x 1.19 84.0%
x2 1.13 88.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
13.00 7.7%
9.00 11.1%
2.02 49.5%
12.50 8.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 3.5 7.70 13.0%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 1.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 5.5 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 0.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 2.5 1.52 65.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew Town - Taroona

New Town
0 matches total
Taroona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history