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Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3
Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3
31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3

Box Hill - Keilor Park

Football
Box Hill
Box Hill
- : -
Not started
Keilor Park
Keilor Park
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Box Hill — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Box Hill): model 43% · market 44% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Box Hill43.8%
X · draw25.7%
2 · Keilor Park30.5%

Model estimate: win Box Hill 43.8%, draw 25.7%, win Keilor Park 30.5%. Model favourite — Box Hill.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Box Hill (odds1.94) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Box Hill: probability 51% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Box Hill - Keilor Park July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Box Hill. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.56 / 2 3.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 43.8%
X 25.8%
2 30.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Box Hill 1 : 1 Keilor Park
12.07
X3.45
23.04

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Box Hill - Keilor Park

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Box Hill 43.8% 43.8% market and model agree
Draw 25.9% 25.7% draw risk
Keilor Park 30.2% 30.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 43.8% / 25.7% / 30.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,484 / 1,500 Box Hill / Keilor Park
RD 202 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,081-1,887 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · no value · model 30.5%
X 3.52 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 43.8%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 74.3%
1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 69.5%
X2 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
x2 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.64 37.9%
X 2.19 45.7%
3.64 27.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.03 49.3%
Match center
Box Hill
D W L L L
24.07 07:45 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Box Hill 1:1 Ister LayonzIster Layonz
17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Box Hill 3:1 Altona SitiAltona Siti
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Box Hill 2:3 Essendon Royals SCEssendon Royals SC
03.07 07:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Box Hill 1:3 Whittlesea UnitedWhittlesea United
05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Box Hill 0:2 Verribi SitiVerribi Siti
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Keilor Park
L W W L L
24.07 07:30 UTC+0 Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Keilor Park 0:1 Bayside ArgonautsBayside Argonauts
18.07 03:00 UTC+0 Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Keilor Park 3:1 Verribi SitiVerribi Siti
11.07 03:00 UTC+0 Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Keilor Park 1:0 MalvernMalvern
03.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Keilor Park 2:5 SpringveylSpringveyl
12.06 07:30 UTC+0 Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Keilor Park 0:2 Nunawading CityNunawading City
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBox Hill - Keilor Park

Box Hill
0 matches total
Keilor Park
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history