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Start
30.07.2026 07:45 UTC
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30.07.2026 07:45 UTC
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Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Kingston City - Springvale White Eagles
8
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Springvale White Eagles — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Springvale White Eagles): model 22% · market 48% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kingston City 31.3%, draw 22.4%, win Springvale White Eagles 46.2%. Model favourite — Springvale White Eagles.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kingston City (odds1.59)
Score 2:0
confidence 63%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Kingston Siti: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kingston City - Springvale White Eagles July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Springvale White Eagles.
Line favourite market consensus: Springvale White Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 4.10 / 2 1.93
- Glicko: Kingston City 31.3% / X 22.4% / Springvale White Eagles 46.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.5%
1
29.7%
X
22.5%
2
47.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Kingston City - Springvale White Eagles
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
8:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.2% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.736 / LogLoss 1.161
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.2% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.736 / LogLoss 1.161
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kingston City
29.6%
31.3%
Draw
22.6%
22.4%
draw risk
Springvale White Eagles
47.8%
46.2%
market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
31.3% / 22.4% / 46.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,611 / 1,355
Kingston City / Springvale White Eagles
RD
172 / 178
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,267-1,955 / 999-1,711
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.91
market consensus · no value · model 46.2%
X
4.03
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.07
market consensus · no value · model 31.3%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 77.6%
1X
1.82
market consensus · no value · model 53.8%
X2
1.32
market consensus · no value · model 68.7%
Handicap
2 -1
2.50
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.48
market consensus · line only
1 +1
1.46
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.47
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.46
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.51
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.51 39.8% |
| yes | 1.47 68.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.82 55.0% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.73 26.8% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 2.38 42.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
Match center
Kingston City
L
D
D
W
W
Kingston City
2:4
Essendon Royals SC
Essendon Royals SC
Kingston City
0:0
Goulbern Velli Sans
Goulbern Velli Sans
Kingston City
1:1
Whittlesea United
Whittlesea United
Kingston City
4:0
Nunawading City
Nunawading City
Kingston City
2:1
Moreland City
Moreland City
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
8
Points
Springvale White Eagles
L
L
W
W
D
Springvale White Eagles
1:2
Goulbern Velli Sans
Goulbern Velli Sans
Springvale White Eagles
0:2
Nunawading City
Nunawading City
Springvale White Eagles
1:0
Moreland City
Moreland City
Springvale White Eagles
5:2
Keilor Park
Keilor Park
Springvale White Eagles
2:2
Altona Siti
Altona Siti
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKingston City - Springvale White Eagles
Kingston City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form