Australia: Viktoriya - Premier League Standings
Melbourne Victory II - Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Victory II go head-to-head with Melbourne Srbija on August 3, 2026 in the Australia: Viktoriya - Premier League Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Melbourne Victory II 3-1-1, Melbourne Srbija 3-0-2. The bookmaker line makes Melbourne Victory II the favourite at about 50%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Melbourne Victory II — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Melbourne Victory II): model 49% · market 50% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Melbourne Victory II 53.0%, draw 22.5%, win Melbourne Srbija 24.5%. Model favourite — Melbourne Victory II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Melburn U21: probability 50% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
- • no edge over the line (-33 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Melbourne Victory II - Melbourne Srbija August 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Melbourne Victory II.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.82 / 2 3.37
- 1X2 market: Melbourne Victory II 50.1% / X 23.5% / Melbourne Srbija 26.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPL 2Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Melbourne Victory II - Melbourne Srbija
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 3.82 26.2% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.82 26.2% |
| 3.51 28.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.45 29.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.63 38.0% |
| yes | 1.43 69.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_11 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 60.00 1.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 3.79 26.4% |
Melbourne Victory II
North Sunshine Eagles
Nort Gilong
Bullin
Eltkhem Redbeks
Port Melburn Sharks
Nortkot Siti
North Sunshine Eagles
Full head-to-head historyMelbourne Victory II - Melbourne Srbija
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form