Match center
Start
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. U23. Victoria. National Premier League 2
Northcote City U23 - Melbourne Srbija
2
:
3
Finished
M
Melbourne Srbija
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Northcote City U23 - Melbourne Srbija July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Northcote City U23.
Line favourite market consensus: Northcote City U23. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.89 / 2 4.14
- 1X2 market: Northcote City U23 55.3% / X 23.0% / Melbourne Srbija 21.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
55.3%
X
23.0%
2
21.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPL 2League table
Northcote City U23
WLWWW
Melbourne Srbija
WWDWW
Best price
across 10 books
1
1.65
Betano
X
4.10
Betano
2
4.75
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Northcote City U23
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 1.21
Conceded 0.70
xG 2.11
xGA 1.38
Melbourne Srbija
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 1.30
Conceded 0.60
xG 1.63
xGA 1.71
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Northcote City U23
Rating 1638
Melbourne Srbija
Rating 1561
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Northcote City U23 - Melbourne Srbija
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X
3.90
market consensus · line only
1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.75
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.72
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.64 61.0% | |
| X | 3.94 25.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 4.36 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.40 22.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 10.50 9.5% |
| x2 | 1.02 98.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| X | 2.37 42.2% |
| 4.86 20.6% |
Match center
Northcote City U23
L
W
Northcote City U23
1:2
Nort Gilong
Nort Gilong
Northcote City U23
3:1
Langwarrin
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Melbourne Srbija
W
Melbourne Srbija
2:1
North Sunshine Eagles
North Sunshine Eagles
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNorthcote City U23 - Melbourne Srbija
Northcote City U23
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals