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Austria: East regionalnaya liga Standings
Austria: East regionalnaya liga Standings
30.07.2026 15:00 UTC
30.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Austria: East regionalnaya liga Standings

SV Donau - Kremser

Football
SV Donau
SV Donau
- : -
Not started
Kremser
Kremser
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 SV Donau — 58%

1 · SV Donau ✓ Pick57.8%
X · draw18.8%
2 · Kremser23.4%

Model estimate: win SV Donau 57.8%, draw 18.8%, win Kremser 23.4%. Model favourite — SV Donau.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1SV Donau (odds3.48) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Model backs SV Donau: probability 58% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.48)
  • • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SV Donau - Kremser July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kremser. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.96 / 2 1.82

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 ✓ Pick 26.4%
X 23.2%
2 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

SV Donau - Kremser

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SV Donau 26.4% 57.8% Glicko contrarian
Draw 23.2% 18.8% draw risk
Kremser 50.4% 23.4% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 57.8% / 18.8% / 23.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,374 SV Donau / Kremser
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 792-1,956 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 23.4%
X 3.96 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.48 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 57.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.41 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.69 37.2%
yes 1.43 69.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.78 26.5%
X 2.49 40.2%
2.31 43.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.52 65.8%
2.41 41.5%
Match center
Kremser
L
25.07 14:30 UTC+0 Austria: Cup Avstrii
Kremser 0:1 Austriya Lyustenau
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySV Donau - Kremser

SV Donau
0 matches total
Kremser
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history