AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to BV Lints. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
28.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Austria. League 1
Kapfenberg take on BV Lints on August 28, 2026 in the Austria. League 1.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kapfenberg 0-1-1, BV Lints 3-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 BV Lints — 68%
Model estimate: win Kapfenberg 12.7%, draw 19.0%, win BV Lints 68.3%. Model favourite — BV Lints.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — BV Lints or draw 1.06
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.81 55.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| X | 2.75 36.4% |
| 1.74 57.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 7.2 | 5.2 | 1.28 |
| Winline | 7.2 | 5.2 | 1.32 |
| Fonbet | 7.2 | 5.2 | 1.28 |
| Betcity | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.32 |
Kapfenberg
Austriya Zaltsburg
Lifering
BV Lints
Sankt-Pelten
Vaker Insbruk
Austriya II
Full head-to-head history: Kapfenberg - BV Lints
The Kapfenberg - BV Lints breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 28, 2026.
