Austria: Regionalliga South Standings
Donau Klagenfurt - Austria Klagenfurt
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Austria Klagenfurt — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Austria Klagenfurt): model 40% · market 44% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Donau Klagenfurt 34.5%, draw 22.3%, win Austria Klagenfurt 43.2%. Model favourite — Austria Klagenfurt.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Austriya Klagenfurt: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Donau Klagenfurt - Austria Klagenfurt July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 4.10 / 2 2.14
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Donau Klagenfurt - Austria Klagenfurt
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% |
| yes | 1.47 68.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.52 65.8% | 1.65 60.6% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.42 70.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.21 31.2% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 2.64 37.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Austria Klagenfurt
Atus Velden
Full head-to-head historyDonau Klagenfurt - Austria Klagenfurt
Match history
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The Donau Klagenfurt - Austria Klagenfurt breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form