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Austria. League 1
Austria. League 1
31.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Austria. League 1

Wacker Innsbruck - Schwarz Weiss Bregenz

Football
Wacker Innsbruck
Wacker Innsbruck
0 : 0
Finished
S
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Schwarz Weiss Bregenz51%

1 · Wacker Innsbruck30.2%
X · draw19.1%
2 · Schwarz Weiss Bregenz50.7%

Model estimate: win Wacker Innsbruck 30.2%, draw 19.1%, win Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 50.7%. Model favourite — Schwarz Weiss Bregenz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Schwarz Weiss Bregenz (odds3.25) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Bregenz: probability 51% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.25)
  • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wacker Innsbruck - Schwarz Weiss Bregenz July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wacker Innsbruck.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wacker Innsbruck. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 15.00 / 2 3.56
  • Glicko: Wacker Innsbruck 30.2% / X 19.1% / Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.8%
1 73.8%
X 5.0%
2 21.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

2. Liga
Best price across 11 books
1 2.17 Superbet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 3.20 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Wacker Innsbruck
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.60 Corners 7.0
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 1.20 Conceded 2.50 xG 1.17 xGA 1.80 Corners 4.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Wacker Innsbruck
Rating 1485 xG 1.49 Win 43%
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
Rating 1369 xG 1.22 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Wacker Innsbruck 3 : 1 Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
12.10
X3.45
23.25

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
14 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 2
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Double chance 1X 1.31 (1) - X2 1.70 (1)
Total TB 1.5 1.18 (1) - TB 3 2.12 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.58 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1_5 1.89 (1)
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 73.8% @ 1.02 / X 5.0% @ 15.00 / 2 21.2% @ 3.56
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Wacker Innsbruck 100%
📐 Math model Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Wacker Innsbruck - Schwarz Weiss Bregenz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 2 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 50.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.002 / LogLoss 1.655
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 50.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.002 / LogLoss 1.655
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wacker Innsbruck 46.9% 30.2% market favourite
Draw 26.6% 19.1% draw risk
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 26.5% 50.7% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.49 : 1.22
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.2% / 19.1% / 50.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,722 / 1,903 Wacker Innsbruck / Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
RD 256 / 296 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,209-2,235 / 1,310-2,496 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.56 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.7%
X 3.54 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.02 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.2%
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.9%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 49.3%
X2 5.70 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 69.8%
Handicap
2 -1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.27 44.1%
yes 6.90 14.5% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 5.70 17.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.59 38.6%
X 2.36 42.4%
3.71 27.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.16 46.3%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.07 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.6 (Betcity) · 2 3.2 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.98 3.5 3.1
Winline 2.06 3.45 3.15
Fonbet 1.98 3.5 3.1
Betcity 2.05 3.6 3.2
Liga Stavok 2.07 3.45 3.15
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Wacker Innsbruck
W L W W W
2026-07-25 OFB Cup 26/27
Wacker Innsbruck Wacker Innsbruck 3:0 Reichenau
2026-07-13 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wacker Innsbruck Wacker Innsbruck 0:3 Teplice
2026-06-13 Regionalliga West 25/26
Wacker Innsbruck Wacker Innsbruck 5:0 Rheindorf Altach 2
2026-06-07 Regionalliga West 25/26
Wacker Innsbruck TSV St. Johann 1:2 Wacker Innsbruck
2026-06-03 Regionalliga West 25/26
Wacker Innsbruck Wacker Innsbruck 1:0 Kufstein
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
W D W W W
2026-07-25 OFB Cup 26/27
Bad Leonfelden 0:5 Schwarz Weiss Bregenz Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
2026-07-15 Club Friendly Games 2026
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 1:1 Austria Lustenau Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 1:0 Hohenems Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 4:0 Dornbirn Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
2026-06-27 Club Friendly Games 2026
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz 4:1 Sankt Gallen 2 Schwarz Weiss Bregenz
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points