Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Cambodia - East Timor
Cambodia face East Timor on August 3, 2026 in the Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cambodia 2-1-2, East Timor 2-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cambodia — 67%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cambodia): model 50% · market 68% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cambodia 66.6%, draw 19.3%, win East Timor 14.1%. Model favourite — Cambodia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kambodzha: probability 74% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:0
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 1.67)
- • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 3:0 (diff +3) covers the line (odds 1.70).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cambodia - East Timor August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / X 4.70 / 2 6.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
ASEAN ChampionshipAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Cambodia - East Timor
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 2.85 35.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.80 35.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.98 50.5% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| — | — | 3.25 30.8% | |
| — | — | 5.10 19.6% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | — | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% | |
| — | — | 1.27 78.7% | |
| — | — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | — | 5.10 19.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 3 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 4 | — | — | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 3.90 25.6% |
| Over 5 | — | — | 6.00 16.7% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 6.80 14.7% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 11.50 8.7% |
| Under 1 | — | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | — |
Cambodia
East Timor
Full head-to-head historyCambodia - East Timor
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form