Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Philippines meet Thailand on August 3, 2026 in the Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Philippines 3-1-1, Thailand 3-2-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Thailand — 66%
Pure model vs market (2 · Thailand): model 51% · market 69% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Philippines 13.9%, draw 20.2%, win Thailand 65.9%. Model favourite — Thailand.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 2.70 37.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% | |
| — | — | 1.25 80.0% | |
| — | — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | — | 5.70 17.5% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 2.70 37.0% | |
| — | — | 3.35 29.9% | |
| — | — | 5.20 19.2% | |
| — | — | 5.80 17.2% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.04 49.0% | — | |
| — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 3 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 4 | — | — | 3.40 29.4% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 4.00 25.0% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 1 | — | — | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 2 | — | — | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.25 44.4% |
Philippines
Thailand
Full head-to-head historyPhilippines - Thailand
The Philippines - Thailand breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
