Match center
Start
30.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started
ASEAN Championship. Group stage
East Timor - Indonesia
-
:
-
Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Indonesia — 47%
Model estimate: win East Timor 32.9%, draw 19.7%, win Indonesia 47.4%. Model favourite — Indonesia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Indonesia (odds2.11)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Indonesia: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction East Timor - Indonesia July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
East Timor - Indonesia
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
East Timor
-
32.9%
Draw
-
19.7%
draw risk
Indonesia
-
47.4%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
32.9% / 19.7% / 47.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,463 / 1,908
East Timor / Indonesia
RD
210 / 240
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,043-1,882 / 1,428-2,388
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
Total
Over 2.5
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
6.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 4.90 20.4% | |
| — | 2.95 33.9% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.76 56.8% | — | |
| — | 1.47 68.0% | |
| — | 1.22 82.0% | |
| — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| — | 1.13 88.5% | |
| — | 1.35 74.1% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | 3.70 27.0% | |
| — | 5.80 17.2% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.95 51.3% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.98 50.5% | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 7.5 | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 6.90 14.5% |
| Under 3.5 | — | 3.85 26.0% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 6.5 | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 7.5 | — | 1.15 87.0% |
Match center
East Timor
L
L
East Timor
0:2
Singapore
Singapore
East Timor
0:7
Vietnam
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.0
Scored
4.5
Conceded
0
Points
Indonesia
W
Indonesia
5:1
Kambodzha
Kambodzha
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEast Timor - Indonesia
East Timor
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The East Timor - Indonesia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form