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Asia: Championship ASEAN Standings
Asia: Championship ASEAN Standings
04.08.2026 13:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

Asia: Championship ASEAN Standings

Philippines - Thailand

Football
Philippines
Philippines
- : -
Not started
Thailand
Thailand

Philippines go head-to-head with Thailand on August 4, 2026 in the Asia: Championship ASEAN Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Philippines 3-1-1, Thailand 3-2-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Thailand — 68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Thailand): model 51% · market 69% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Philippines12.3%
market11%
X · draw19.5%
market19%
2 · Thailand ✓ Pick68.3%
market69%

Model estimate: win Philippines 12.3%, draw 19.5%, win Thailand 68.3%. Model favourite — Thailand.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Thailand (odds1.35) Score 0:2 Under 3 (odds1.80) Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.92) confidence 65%
  • • Model backs Thailand: probability 65% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2
  • • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • • at line 3 (odds 1.80)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.92).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Philippines - Thailand August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Thailand. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / X 4.90 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books
1 11.3%
X 19.4%
2 ✓ Pick 69.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 6.80 ↑ 8.50
1X2 X 4.30 ↑ 4.90
1X2 P2 1.37 ↓ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

ASEAN Championship
League table
Philippines
#83 ptsGP 21-0-15:5
Thailand
#36 ptsGP 22-0-07:0
Best price across 13 books
1 8.50 Betfair
X 5.00 Betfair
2 1.42 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Philippines
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.62 xG 2.82 xGA 0.85
Thailand
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 3.12 Conceded 1.11 xG 2.79 xGA 0.69

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Philippines 2 : 2 Thailand
19.15
X5.20
21.25

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
22 predictions Choose an outcome
1 33% 1
X 0% 0
2 66% 2
Total TB 3 1.83 (4) - TM 3 1.79 (2) - TB 2.5 1.54 (1)
handicap1 handicap2:-1 1.37 (2) - handicap2:-1_5 1.79 (2) - handicap1:1 2.66 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.92 (2)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1 3.42 (1) - total_t2_under:2_5 1.63 (1)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 10.6% @ 8.50 / X 18.4% @ 4.90 / 2 71.0% @ 1.27
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Thailand 66%
📐 Math model Thailand 68%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Philippines - Thailand

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Philippines 11.3% 12.3%
Draw 19.4% 19.5% draw risk
Thailand 69.4% 68.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 12.3% / 19.5% / 68.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,449 / 1,796 Philippines / Thailand
RD 248 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 953-1,944 / 1,374-2,218 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 68.3%
X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 12.3%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 80.5%
1X 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 31.7%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 87.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
1x 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
x2 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.60 38.5%
1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.14 87.7%
— — 1.11 90.1%
— — 6.20 16.1%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 4.60 21.7%
— — 5.30 18.9%
1.92 52.1% 1.93 51.8% —
— — 1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 — — 1.15 87.0%
Over 2 — — 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.55 64.5%
Over 3 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 — 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5%
Over 4 — — 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 — — 3.85 26.0%
Under 0.5 — — 11.50 8.7%
Under 1 — — 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 — — 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% —
Under 3.5 — 1.52 65.8% —
Match center
Philippines
W L W W D
2026-08-01 ASEAN Championship 2026, Group B
Philippines Laos 1:4 Philippines
2026-07-28 ASEAN Championship 2026, Group B
Philippines Philippines 1:4 Myanmar
2026-06-09 Int. Friendly Games 2026
Philippines Philippines 5:1 Myanmar
2026-06-03 Int. Friendly Games 2026
Philippines Philippines 5:1 Guam
2026-03-31 AFC Asian Cup 2027, Qualification Group A
Philippines Tajikistan 1:1 Philippines
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Thailand
W W D D W
2026-08-01 ASEAN Championship 2026, Group B
Thailand 2:0 Malaysia Thailand
2026-07-25 ASEAN Championship 2026, Group B
Laos 0:5 Thailand Thailand
2026-06-09 Int. Friendly Games 2026
China 0:0 Thailand Thailand
2026-06-05 Int. Friendly Games 2026
Thailand 2:2 Kuwait Thailand
2026-03-31 AFC Asian Cup 2027, Qualification Group D
Thailand 2:1 Turkmenistan Thailand
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhilippines - Thailand

Philippines
0 matches total
Thailand
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history