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Belarus. League 1
Belarus. League 1
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus. League 1

BATE Borisov 2 - Turkspor

Football
BATE Borisov 2
BATE Borisov 2
- : -
Finished
Turkspor
Turkspor

BATE Borisov 2 meet Turkspor on August 1, 2026 in the Belarus. League 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): BATE Borisov 2 1-0-4, Turkspor 2-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Turkspor — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Turkspor): model 49% · market 58% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · BATE Borisov 224.0%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Turkspor ✓ Pick56.3%

Model estimate: win BATE Borisov 2 24.0%, draw 19.6%, win Turkspor 56.3%. Model favourite — Turkspor.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Turkspor (odds1.56) Score 1:2 confidence 56%
  • • Model backs Minsk 2: probability 56% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BATE Borisov 2 - Turkspor August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Turkspor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.17 / X 4.52 / 2 1.56

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 21.8%
X 20.1%
2 ✓ Pick 58.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 21.8% @ 4.17 / X 20.1% @ 4.52 / 2 58.2% @ 1.56
Match center

BATE Borisov 2 - Turkspor

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
BATE Borisov 2 21.8% 24.0%
Draw 20.1% 19.6% draw risk
Turkspor 58.2% 56.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 24.0% / 19.6% / 56.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,137 / 1,421 BATE Borisov 2 / Turkspor
RD 180 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 777-1,496 / 1,064-1,778 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 56.3%
X 4.52 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.17 market consensus · no value · model 24.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.37 73.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.10 24.4%
X 2.86 35.0%
1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 1.5 2.06 48.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
Match center
BATE Borisov 2
L L L W L
24.07 13:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
BATE Borisov 2 1:3 OsipovichiOsipovichi
11.07 12:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
BATE Borisov 2 1:4 LidaLida
04.07 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
BATE Borisov 2 0:5 Niva DolbiznoNiva Dolbizno
14.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
BATE Borisov 2 3:2 Dinamo Minsk 2Dinamo Minsk 2
01.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
BATE Borisov 2 2:5 Slonim-2017Slonim-2017
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
3.8 Conceded
3 Points
Turkspor
W W L L D
26.07 13:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Turkspor 2:1 Unі Kh LabsUnі Kh Labs
11.07 11:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Turkspor 3:2 MolodechnoMolodechno
03.07 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Turkspor 0:3 Gomel 2Gomel 2
14.06 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Turkspor 0:1 SmorgonSmorgon
06.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Turkspor 1:1 BumpromBumprom
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBATE Borisov 2 - Turkspor

BATE Borisov 2
0 matches total
Turkspor
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history