Finland. League 1

04.07.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 11:30 UTC

Finished

Finland. League 1

Bumprom - Orsha

Futbol

Bumprom

1 : 3

Finished

Orsha

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Bumprom — 70%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bumprom - Orsha July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Orsha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.19 / X 7.90 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 92.8%

1 43.6%

X 6.6%

2 49.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Pershaya Liga

Team stats

Bumprom

WLWLWWDWWL

W 6 • D 1 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:2.4 : 1.4

4 place, 23 pts

Orsha

WLWWLLDLLL

W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)

Goals average:1.5 : 1.8

15 place, 11 pts

Head-to-head: 6 — Bumprom 2, draws 2, Orsha 2 (goals 14:9)

Bumprom — Orsha2025-11-02 4:0
Orsha — Bumprom2025-06-28 0:3
Bumprom — Orsha2024-11-17 3:4
Orsha — Bumprom2024-07-27 1:0
Bumprom — Orsha2023-10-29 2:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Bumprom

Gomel
Founded in 2016
Coach: Chumachenko, Igor Gavrilovich

Orsha

City Stadium (Orsha)
Founded in 1951

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Bumprom

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Orsha

Well rested

Rest days: 6
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Bumprom	Orsha
Over 2.5	60%	—
Average total	4.2	—
Both teams to score (BTTS)	80%	—
Matches counted	5	—

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 11:30 UTC

Match center

Bumprom - Orsha

Form 3/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X 7.90 Fonbet · line only

1 1.16 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only

1 0 3.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 7.00 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	7.00 14.3%	1.74 57.5%
yes	1.06 94.3%	1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.04 96.2%	1.11 90.1%	1.05 95.2%
1x	—	—	8.50 11.8%
x2	3.80 26.3%	4.60 21.7%	1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.59 62.9%
X	2.67 37.5%
	9.30 10.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.05 48.8%
Under 1.5	1.69 59.2%

Match center

Bumprom

W D W

13.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings

Bumprom 6:2 Soligorsk

06.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings

Bumprom 1:1 Minsk 2

31.05 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings

Bumprom 5:1 Osipovichi

2 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

4.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

7 Points

Orsha

L D

13.06 08:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings

Orsha 1:2 Lida

07.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings

Orsha 1:1 Niva Dolbizno

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBumprom - Orsha

Bumprom

0 matches total

Orsha

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Bumprom - Orsha

AI match prediction Bumprom - Orsha July 4, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Team stats

Team reference

Team freshness

Totals and BTTS trends

Buy the full AI analysis

Bumprom - Orsha

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history