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Belarus: First League Standings
Belarus: First League Standings
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus: First League Standings

Dinamo Minsk II - Niva

Football
Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
1 : 2
Finished
Niva
Niva
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dinamo Minsk II — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dinamo Minsk II): model 39% · market 29% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dinamo Minsk II48.6%
X · draw20.7%
2 · Niva30.7%

Model estimate: win Dinamo Minsk II 48.6%, draw 20.7%, win Niva 30.7%. Model favourite — Dinamo Minsk II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dinamo Minsk II (odds3.16) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Dinamo Minsk 2: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.16)
  • • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Minsk II - Niva July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Niva.

Line favourite market consensus: Niva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.16 / X 4.12 / 2 1.85
  • Glicko: Dinamo Minsk II 48.6% / X 20.7% / Niva 30.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 28.8%
X 22.1%
2 49.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Dinamo Minsk II
#825 ptsGP 167-4-530:22
ARRAY
Niva
#333 ptsGP 1710-3-439:19
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dinamo Minsk II
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.59 Conceded 1.30
Niva
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 2.51 Conceded 0.60 xG 2.20 xGA 1.05

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dinamo Minsk II 1 : 3 Niva
13.13
X4.08
21.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
12 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 50% 1
2 50% 1
Double chance 12 1.20 (1) - X2 1.32 (1)
Total TB 3.5 1.94 (3) - TB 2 1.11 (1) - TM 3.5 1.75 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1_5 1.95 (1)
total_under_half1 TB 1.5 2.01 (2)
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 28.8% @ 3.16 / X 22.1% @ 4.12 / 2 49.2% @ 1.85
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 50%
📐 Math model Dinamo Minsk II 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dinamo Minsk II - Niva

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 2 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.760 / LogLoss 1.182
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.760 / LogLoss 1.182
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dinamo Minsk II 28.8% 48.6% Glicko contrarian
Draw 22.1% 20.7% draw risk
Niva 49.2% 30.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.6% / 20.7% / 30.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,545 / 1,651 Nemanets / Niva Dolbizno
RD 178 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,189-1,902 / 1,347-1,954 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.7%
X 4.12 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.16 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.49 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.82 35.5%
yes 1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.45 29.0%
X 2.69 37.2%
2.23 44.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 1.5 1.94 51.6%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.50 40.0%
1.49 67.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-4, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Dinamo-BGUFK 1:2 Niva Dolbizno
2025-11-17 · Dinamo-BGUFK 1:1 Niva Dolbizno
2025-07-18 · Dinamo-BGUFK 0:1 Niva Dolbizno
2024-08-05 · Dinamo-BGUFK 1:5 Niva Dolbizno
2024-04-06 · Dinamo-BGUFK 1:2 Niva Dolbizno
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.08 (Winline) · X 3.75 (Liga Stavok) · 2 2.05 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3 3.65 2
Winline 3.08 3.74 2.05
Fonbet 3 3.65 2
Liga Stavok 3.05 3.75 1.97
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dinamo Minsk II
D L W L W
24.07 12:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Dinamo Minsk II 0:0 SKA-1938
11.07 10:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Dinamo Minsk II 0:2 Slutsk
04.07 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Dinamo Minsk II 2:1 SoligorskSoligorsk
14.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Dinamo Minsk II 2:3 BATE 2BATE 2
06.06 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Dinamo Minsk II 2:1 Unі Kh Labs
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Niva
W D W W D
25.07 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Niva 2:0 OstrovetsOstrovets
10.07 12:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Niva 2:2 Slonim-2017Slonim-2017
04.07 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Niva 5:0 BATE 2BATE 2
14.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Niva 2:1 Gomel 2Gomel 2
07.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Niva 1:1 OrshaOrsha
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDinamo Minsk II - Niva

Dinamo Minsk II
0 matches total
Niva
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history