Belarus: First League Standings
Orsha face Gomel II on August 6, 2026 in the Belarus: First League Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Orsha 1-2-2, Gomel II 1-2-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Orsha — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Orsha): model 45% · market 46% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Orsha 48.3%, draw 21.0%, win Gomel II 30.7%. Model favourite — Orsha.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.56 39.1% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.39 41.8% | |
| X | 2.56 39.1% |
| 3.32 30.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 2.30 43.5% |
Orsha
Soligorsk
Volna-Pinsk
Smorgon
Bumprom
Lida
Gomel II
Volna-Pinsk
Smorgon
Bumprom
Minsk 2
Niva Dolbizno
Full head-to-head historyOrsha - Gomel II
The Orsha - Gomel II breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
