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Finland. League 1
Finland. League 1
05.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Finland. League 1

Smorgon - Volna Pinsk

Futbol
Smorgon
Smorgon
1 : 3
Finished
Volna Pinsk
Volna Pinsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Smorgon - Volna Pinsk 5 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Volna Pinsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / X 1.65 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 75.4%
1 12.7%
X 34.5%
2 52.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Pershaya Liga

Team stats

Smorgon
LDLLWDWWLW
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:2.2 : 1.4
14 place, 13 pts
Volna Pinsk
DLWLWWWWWW
W 7 • D 1 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.2 : 1.6
9 place, 20 pts
Head-to-head: 10 — Smorgon 5, draws 3, Volna Pinsk 2 (goals 18:14)
  • FC Smorgon — Volna Pinsk2022-11-12 2:0
  • Volna Pinsk — FC Smorgon2022-07-23 1:3
  • Volna Pinsk — FC Smorgon2020-08-22 2:3
  • FC Smorgon — Volna Pinsk2020-04-25 2:0
  • FC Smorgon — Volna Pinsk2019-11-24 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Smorgon
  • Юность (стадион, Сморгонь) · 3 500 seats
  • Founded in 1987
  • Coach: Геращенко, Вячеслав Леонидович
Volna Pinsk
  • Волна (стадион, Пинск) · 3 136 seats
  • Founded in 1987
  • Coach: Прокопюк, Андрей Николаевич

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Smorgon
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Volna Pinsk
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Smorgon - Volna Pinsk

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.10 47.6%
1x 6.40 15.6%
x2 1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.63 27.6%
Х 2.54 39.4%
П2 2.27 44.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1.5 1.96 51.0%
ТМ 1.5 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Smorgon
W W D
14.06 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 1:0 Minsk 2Minsk 2
06.06 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 5:0 OsipovichiOsipovichi
31.05 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 4:4 LidaLida
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Volna Pinsk
W W W
13.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Volna Pinsk 2:1 OsipovichiOsipovichi
06.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Volna Pinsk 4:2 LidaLida
01.06 13:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Volna Pinsk 1:0 Niva DolbiznoNiva Dolbizno
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySmorgon - Volna Pinsk

Smorgon
0 matches total
Volna Pinsk
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history