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UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
13.06.2026 10:00 UTC 11 round
Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Baranovichi - Minsk

Football
B
Baranovichi
2 : 1
Finished
Minsk
Minsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baranovichi - Minsk June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Baranovichi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 12.50 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 48.6%
1 65.3%
X 5.4%
2 29.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Baranovichi
#1211 ptsGP 113-2-612:23
WWLWD
Minsk
#617 ptsGP 115-2-417:14
LDLWW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Baranovichi
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.01 Conceded 2.20 xG 0.86 xGA 1.66
1 +4.10 X -1.00 2 -1.00 1 (DNB) +0.00
Minsk
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.24 xGA 1.12 Corners 5.0
1 +3.01 X -2.28 2 -4.66 1 (DNB) +1.51

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Baranovichi
Rating 1449
Minsk
Rating 1553

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Baranovichi - Minsk

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Baranovichi - Minsk, 13 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarus po futbolu 2026, 11 round. Baranovichi - Minsk, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 9.00 11.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
1.58 63.3%
4.80 20.8%
6.80 14.7%
11.50 8.7%
10.00 10.0%
11.00 9.1%
7.90 12.7%
9.00 11.1%
10.00 10.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.20 45.5%
1.13 88.5%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
7.60 13.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 1 6.00 16.7%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 2 10.00 10.0%
Over 2.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.25 80.0%
Over 3 7.20 13.9%
Over 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 4.5 4.15 24.1%
Over 5.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 6.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 7.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 0.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Baranovichi
W
31.05 09:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Baranovichi 3:2 VitebskVitebsk
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaranovichi - Minsk

Baranovichi
0 matches total
Minsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Baranovichi
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Minsk
Baranovichi Team comparison Minsk
10 Games 10
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 3
10 Scored 16
22 Conceded 12
8 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Baranovichi 26 round Goly 0:1 26' Artem Bruy 1 66' Kirill Muzychenko 2:1 90+4'
. Prognoz: unylyy Football v stolitse Belarus posle vykhoda s karantina «Minsk» — «Torpedo-BelAZ»
. Prognoz: Ustinov and Yashin sokhranyat «avtozavodtsev» v troyke «Slaviya» — «Minsk»
. Prognoz: proveryaem koeffitsient 2.91 v matche chempionata Belarus «Minsk» —
BATE. Prognoz: «gorozhane» naydut, chto predlozhit Dragunu and Stasevichu v Minske «Energetik» — «Minsk»
. Prognoz: obidchiki BATE and komandy Gurenko zazhgut v Minske «Belshina» — «Minsk»

Baranovichi Minsk 10 Games 10 2 Wins 5 2 Draws 2 6 Losses 3 10 Scored 16 22 Conceded 12 8 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 24.10.2026 Belarus — Premier League Minsk –:– Baranovichi 26 round Goly 0:1 26' Artem Bruy 1 66' Kirill Muzychenko 2:1 90+4' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 13% 26% 61% Double chance 20% 36% 44% Materialy po prognozam «Minsk» — «Slutsk». Prognoz: unylyy Football v stolitse Belarus posle vykhoda s karantina «Minsk» — «Torpedo-BelAZ». Prognoz: Ustinov and Yashin sokhranyat «avtozavodtsev» v troyke «Slaviya» — «Minsk». Prognoz: proveryaem koeffitsient 2.91 v matche chempionata Belarus «Minsk» — BATE. Prognoz: «gorozhane» naydut, chto predlozhit Dragunu and Stasevichu v Minske «Energetik» — «Minsk». Prognoz: obidchiki BATE and komandy Gurenko zazhgut v Minske «Belshina» — «Minsk». Prognoz: skuchnoe zavershenie bogatogo na sensatsii tura CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305760' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAM