UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

14 round 02.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

02.07.2026 13:00 UTC 14 round

Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

BATE Borisov - Gomel

Futbol

BATE Borisov

0 : 1

Finished

Gomel

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Gomel (odds1.83) Score 0:1 (odds7.73) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Model backs Gomel: probability 50% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.88)
• edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1 (odds 7.73).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BATE Borisov - Gomel July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gomel.

Line favourite market consensus: Gomel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.04 / X 3.21 / 2 1.87
1X2 market: BATE Borisov 22.7% / X 28.5% / Gomel 48.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%

1 22.6%

X 28.5%

2 48.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League

League table

BATE Borisov

#159 ptsGP 141-6-79:17

LLLDD

Gomel

#325 ptsGP 147-4-320:12

WDWLW

Best price across 6 books

1 4.25 Marathonbet

X 3.35 Pinnacle

2 1.88 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

BATE Borisov

W-D-L 0-5-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.09 xGA 1.38 Corners 3.5

Gomel

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.27 xGA 1.11 Corners 2.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

BATE Borisov

Rating 1421 xG 0.89 Win 22%

Gomel

Rating 1600 xG 1.49 Win 51%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Borisov-Arena (Borisov, Belarus), vmestimost: 13126 0' 45' 90' 41' 0:1 Daniil Silinskiy

Start 02.07.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

BATE Borisov - Gomel

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi BATE - Gomel, 2 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 14 round. BATE - Gomel, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 Fonbet · line only

X 5.10 Fonbet · line only

1 4.07 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · line only

1X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.67 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Yes 6.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	1xBet	Dafabet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	William Hill
	4.23 23.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.25 23.5%	4.05 24.7%	3.72 26.9%	4.00 25.0%
X	3.32 30.1%	3.25 30.8%	3.32 30.1%	3.35 29.9%	3.04 32.9%	3.00 33.3%
	1.89 52.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.07 93.5%	1.79 55.9%
yes	6.40 15.6%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.13 88.5%
1x	1.85 54.1%	1.81 55.3%	4.30 23.3%
x2	1.19 84.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	5.20 19.2%
X	2.07 48.3%
	2.53 39.5%

Match center

BATE Borisov

D D

12.06 14:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings

BATE Borisov 1:1 Belshina

31.05 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings

BATE Borisov 1:1 Dnepr Mogilev

0 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

2 Points

Gomel

D L

26.06 15:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings

Gomel 1:1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

13.06 14:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings

Gomel 1:2 Dinamo Minsk

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBATE Borisov - Gomel

BATE Borisov

0 matches total

Gomel

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 BATE Borisov

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Gomel

13 Games 13

1 Wins 6

6 Draws 4

6 Losses 3

9 Scored 19

16 Conceded 12

9 Points 22

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

BATE 29 round Goly Daniil Silinskiy 0:1 41'

. Prognoz: Stasevich and Dragun ostupyatsya posle triumfa v Kubke Belarusi BATE — «Dynamo-Brest». Prognoz and stavka na statistiku v finale Kubka Belarusi BATE — «Dynamo-Brest»

. Prognoz: Nekhaychik, Dragun and Stasevich vyigrayut Cup Belarusi «Dynamo-Brest» — BATE. Prognoz and stavka na statistiku v matche chempionata Belarusi «Sputnik» — «Gomel»

. Prognoz: berem koeffitsient 2.

BATE Gomel 13 Games 13 1 Wins 6 Draws 4 6 Losses 3 9 Scored 19 16 Conceded 12 9 Points 22 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0.08 Sendoffs 0.08 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Belarus — Premier League Gomel –:– BATE 29 round Goly Daniil Silinskiy 0:1 41' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 40% 13% 47% Double chance 27% 43% 30% Materialy po prognozam BATE — «Aris». Bez Kokorina stalo dazhe luchshe «Aris» — BATE. Aleksandr Kokorin zabral udachu s soboy? «Partizani» — BATE. Ostaetsya tolko skuchat po vremenam s Goncharenko BATE — «Isloch». Prognoz: Stasevich and Dragun ostupyatsya posle triumfa v Kubke Belarusi BATE — «Dynamo-Brest». Prognoz and stavka na statistiku v finale Kubka Belarusi BATE — «Dynamo-Brest». Prognoz: Nekhaychik, Dragun and Stasevich vyigrayut Cup Belarusi «Dynamo-Brest» — BATE. Prognoz and stavka na statistiku v matche chempionata Belarusi «Sputnik» — «Gomel». Prognoz: berem koeffitsient 2.90 v matche Pervoy ligi Belarusi BATE — «Slutsk». Prognoz: Stasevich and Gafar razygrayut liderstvo v chempionate Belarusi «Smolevichi» — BATE. Progn