UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC 14 round
Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Belschina Bobruisk - Baranovichi

Futbol
Belschina Bobruisk
Belschina Bobruisk
1 : 1
Finished
B
Baranovichi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belschina Bobruisk - Baranovichi July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.10 / X 1.25 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 12.9%
X 73.5%
2 13.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Vysshaya Liga

Team stats

Belschina Bobruisk
LLLWLWLDLL
W 2 • D 1 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:1 : 2.1
14 place, 10 pts
Baranovichi
LLDDWLWWLD
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.6
12 place, 12 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Belschina Bobruisk 8, draws 1, Baranovichi 5 (goals 35:16)
  • Baranovichi — Belshina Bobruisk2025-08-09 2:1
  • Belshina Bobruisk — Baranovichi2025-05-14 2:1
  • Baranovichi — Belshina Bobruisk2024-09-29 0:4
  • Belshina Bobruisk — Baranovichi2024-06-02 5:0
  • Baranovichi — Belshina Bobruisk2021-11-27 3:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach
Belschina Bobruisk
Trukhov, Igor
Head coach
Baranovichi
Kirenkin, Roman
Spartak Stadium (Babruysk)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Belschina Bobruisk
No recent matches
Baranovichi
Well rested
  • Rest days: 9
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Pasmurno

Temperature
20.7°
Feels like
19.4°
Wind
12.7 km/h (gusts 44.3)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
57%
Cloud cover
82%

⚠ Strong wind complicates ball control and crosses — a factor toward a lower total.

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Spartak (Bobruysk, Belarus), vmestimost: 3700 22' 1:0 Nikita Golub 0' 45' 90' 41' 1 Artem Petrenko
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Belschina Bobruisk - Baranovichi

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Belshina - Baranovichi, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 14 round. Belshina - Baranovichi, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.80 Fonbet · line only
X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.43 69.9% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 3.50 28.6%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.09 91.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.52 28.4%
X 2.07 48.3%
3.31 30.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.82 55.0%
Under 1 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Belschina Bobruisk
D L
12.06 14:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Belschina Bobruisk 1:1 BATEBATE
31.05 11:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Belschina Bobruisk 1:2 Slaviya MozyrSlaviya Mozyr
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Baranovichi
D W W
26.06 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Baranovichi 1:1 Slaviya MozyrSlaviya Mozyr
13.06 10:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Baranovichi 2:1 MinskMinsk
31.05 09:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Baranovichi 3:2 VitebskVitebsk
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Belschina Bobruisk
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Baranovichi
Belschina Bobruisk Team comparison Baranovichi
13 Games 13
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
12 Scored 13
25 Conceded 25
10 Points 12
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Belshina 29 round Goly Nikita Golub 1:0 22' Artem Petrenko 1 41'
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Belshina Baranovichi 13 Games 13 3 Wins 3 1 Draws 3 9 Losses 7 12 Scored 13 25 Conceded 25 10 Points 12 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Belarus — Premier League Baranovichi –:– Belshina 29 round Goly Nikita Golub 1:0 22' Artem Petrenko 1 41' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 31% 27% 42% Double chance 29% 36% 35% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305680' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');